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The NVDA 0DTE FOMC Trade Is a Lottery Ticket
Part 1 of 0DTE Autopsy: Retail vs. Vol Surface
 • K. Iyer
Sized 22x Heavier on MSFT: The Trade Pays When Nothing Happens
Capex intensity says MSFT gets 22x the NVDA notional. Under that sizing, carry works and vol decay pays; mechanism confirmation becomes the loss.
 • K. Iyer
Every Coin Flip Passes the Fractal Test
Why you can't see volatility clustering by just zooming
 • K. Iyer
The Software Names the Options Market Hasn’t Priced Yet
Software Is Dead. Long Live Silicon. Part 2 — What the Options Chain Says
 • K. Iyer
The Software Names Getting Crushed by GPU Depreciation
Part 2 of the Tech-Schism Arc: AI capex is transferring margin from software to silicon on a schedule
 • K. Iyer
The Correlation Trade Is a Trap. The Capex Trade Isn't
Part 1.5: Buying SMH and shorting IGV on a correlation signal. Three failed stress tests.
 • K. Iyer

June 2026

QQQ Is Lying to You
The Tech Schism · Part 1 of 4. The Nasdaq splits a 70% rally and a 17% drawdown down the middle and calls it +15%. The split is structural.
 • K. Iyer
The Correction: Does Crypto Predict the VIX? Yes — But Not Profitably
This is a correction of my previous post
 • K. Iyer
Crypto’s Overnight Tell: Forecasting the VIX with Bitcoin and Ethereum
A 1% positive overnight return in Bitcoin or Ethereum predicts a 0.4% drop in the VIX during the next U.S. trading session. One signal, eight years of…
 • K. Iyer
0DTE Engine 4: When Not to Trade (II)
0DTE Part 6: Validated on Real Market Regimes + Actual Engine Mechanics
 • K. Iyer
0DTE Engine 4: When Not to Trade (I)
0DTE Part 5: The Regime Filter (VIX + Time, GEX on Probation)
 • K. Iyer

May 2026

© 2026 K. Iyer · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
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